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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

31.9%

At Large Bid

68.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (36.9%)

Final Four

24.9%

NCAA Champs

7.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 10.7% 10.2%
2 36.9% 8.3%
3 26.0% 7.0%
4 13.5% 5.8%
5 6.5% 4.6%
6 3.2% 4.0%
7 1.6% 3.4%
8 0.8% 3.3%
9 0.4% 2.3%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.