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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

20.0%

At Large Bid

80.0%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (25.0%)

Final Four

16.8%

NCAA Champs

4.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.7%
16 95.1%
15 86.9%
14 65.1%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 25.0% 9.0%
2 19.7% 5.0%
3 15.1% 3.3%
4 11.5% 2.3%
5 8.4% 1.6%
6 6.1% 1.2%
7 4.5% 1.0%
8 3.3% 0.7%
9 2.4% 0.6%
10 1.7% 0.4%
11 1.3% 0.3%
12 0.8% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.