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Make Tournament

65.6%

Automatic Bid

8.6%

At Large Bid

57.0%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (7.5%)

Final Four

3.9%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.5%
22 98.1%
21 91.2%
20 73.3%
19 45.0%
18 18.3%
17 3.0%
16 0.2%
OVERALL 65.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.3% 4.2%
2 3.0% 2.6%
3 4.5% 1.7%
4 5.6% 1.2%
5 6.4% 0.8%
6 7.1% 0.6%
7 7.5% 0.5%
8 7.4% 0.3%
9 7.1% 0.2%
10 6.5% 0.2%
11 5.5% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 0.3% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.