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Make Tournament

60.4%

Automatic Bid

14.7%

At Large Bid

45.7%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (9.1%)

Final Four

6.0%

NCAA Champs

1.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 98.4%
23 90.2%
22 64.2%
21 28.7%
20 7.7%
19 1.2%
18 0.4%
17 0.3%
OVERALL 60.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.0% 5.3%
2 6.8% 2.5%
3 6.3% 1.3%
4 5.5% 1.1%
5 7.0% 0.9%
6 9.1% 0.5%
7 8.3% 0.3%
8 5.8% 0.2%
9 3.5% 0.1%
10 1.8% 0.0%
11 0.7% 0.0%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.