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Make Tournament

53.0%

Automatic Bid

6.5%

At Large Bid

46.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.2%)

Final Four

4.3%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.2%
25 96.3%
24 86.2%
23 65.4%
22 35.6%
21 11.0%
20 2.1%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 53.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 3.1%
2 4.3% 1.8%
3 6.4% 1.3%
4 7.7% 0.9%
5 8.2% 0.6%
6 7.8% 0.4%
7 6.5% 0.3%
8 4.8% 0.2%
9 3.1% 0.2%
10 1.8% 0.2%
11 0.8% 0.2%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.