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Make Tournament

98.4%

Automatic Bid

22.7%

At Large Bid

75.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (22.3%)

Final Four

11.7%

NCAA Champs

1.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.1%
22 92.7%
21 63.9%
20 14.0%
19 1.9%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 98.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 14.3% 3.9%
2 22.3% 2.5%
3 18.9% 1.6%
4 13.5% 1.1%
5 9.3% 0.9%
6 6.4% 0.7%
7 4.8% 0.6%
8 3.5% 0.5%
9 2.3% 0.4%
10 1.5% 0.3%
11 0.9% 0.3%
12 0.5% 0.3%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.