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Make Tournament

95.2%

Automatic Bid

9.3%

At Large Bid

85.9%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.6%)

Final Four

8.9%

NCAA Champs

1.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.3%
17 93.5%
16 66.9%
15 29.0%
14 2.6%
OVERALL 95.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 6.3%
2 4.9% 3.8%
3 9.7% 3.0%
4 12.1% 2.3%
5 12.6% 1.7%
6 12.0% 1.4%
7 10.9% 1.2%
8 9.6% 0.9%
9 8.1% 0.8%
10 6.5% 0.7%
11 4.9% 0.6%
12 2.9% 0.5%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.