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Make Tournament

82.4%

Automatic Bid

12.6%

At Large Bid

69.9%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (10.2%)

Final Four

6.0%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.3%
20 93.9%
19 73.8%
18 37.8%
17 7.6%
16 0.5%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 82.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.3% 4.8%
2 5.9% 2.9%
3 5.9% 2.1%
4 4.9% 1.6%
5 4.8% 1.1%
6 7.3% 1.0%
7 10.2% 0.8%
8 9.8% 0.6%
9 8.5% 0.5%
10 7.5% 0.4%
11 6.7% 0.3%
12 5.7% 0.2%
13 1.7% 0.2%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.