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Make Tournament

75.6%

Automatic Bid

9.6%

At Large Bid

66.0%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (25.4%)

Final Four

4.0%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
21 100.0%
20 97.4%
19 87.6%
18 32.3%
OVERALL 75.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.4% 1.1%
7 1.0% 0.9%
8 2.4% 0.7%
9 5.8% 0.7%
10 13.6% 0.7%
11 25.4% 0.7%
12 23.6% 0.6%
13 3.1% 0.6%
14 0.3% 1.4%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.