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Make Tournament

74.4%

Automatic Bid

13.2%

At Large Bid

61.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.8%)

Final Four

6.0%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.7%
23 97.8%
22 92.3%
21 75.1%
20 48.9%
19 20.7%
18 6.4%
17 0.7%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 74.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 4.8%
2 5.5% 2.6%
3 7.2% 2.0%
4 8.2% 1.4%
5 8.7% 0.9%
6 8.8% 0.7%
7 8.5% 0.5%
8 7.6% 0.4%
9 6.5% 0.3%
10 5.1% 0.3%
11 3.5% 0.2%
12 1.6% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.