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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

38.7%

At Large Bid

61.2%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (58.1%)

Final Four

39.8%

NCAA Champs

17.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.8%
19 91.1%
18 99.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 58.1% 21.9%
2 20.7% 13.7%
3 9.6% 10.0%
4 4.9% 7.8%
5 2.5% 6.1%
6 1.5% 5.1%
7 1.1% 4.3%
8 0.7% 2.8%
9 0.4% 2.9%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 17.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.