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Make Tournament

73.3%

Automatic Bid

4.4%

At Large Bid

69.0%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (8.5%)

Final Four

4.3%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.6%
21 98.4%
20 94.4%
19 81.0%
18 47.8%
17 8.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 73.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.7% 6.5%
2 4.4% 3.1%
3 5.7% 1.9%
4 6.9% 1.0%
5 7.7% 0.6%
6 8.2% 0.3%
7 8.5% 0.2%
8 8.3% 0.1%
9 7.6% 0.1%
10 6.9% 0.0%
11 5.1% 0.0%
12 1.4% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.