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Make Tournament

95.9%

Automatic Bid

5.0%

At Large Bid

90.9%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (14.3%)

Final Four

6.2%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.8%
15 93.7%
14 53.9%
13 2.9%
OVERALL 95.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 3.1%
2 7.2% 2.2%
3 12.2% 1.6%
4 14.3% 1.1%
5 13.9% 0.8%
6 12.5% 0.6%
7 10.6% 0.5%
8 8.5% 0.4%
9 6.5% 0.3%
10 4.6% 0.3%
11 2.8% 0.2%
12 1.2% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.