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Make Tournament

97.5%

Automatic Bid

8.8%

At Large Bid

88.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (16.3%)

Final Four

8.0%

NCAA Champs

1.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.2%
19 85.3%
18 32.4%
17 0.9%
OVERALL 97.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.4% 4.1%
4 1.6% 3.2%
5 5.0% 2.6%
6 9.8% 2.3%
7 13.5% 1.9%
8 15.6% 1.5%
9 16.3% 1.4%
10 15.5% 1.4%
11 12.5% 1.2%
12 6.4% 0.9%
13 0.7% 1.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.