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Make Tournament

99.4%

Automatic Bid

10.7%

At Large Bid

88.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (21.3%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.5%
21 97.9%
20 89.0%
19 63.0%
18 23.3%
OVERALL 99.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.9% 0.4%
4 3.0% 0.3%
5 7.1% 0.2%
6 13.0% 0.1%
7 19.1% 0.1%
8 21.3% 0.1%
9 17.2% 0.0%
10 10.7% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.