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Make Tournament

57.7%

Automatic Bid

16.2%

At Large Bid

41.5%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.2%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.5%
20 96.0%
19 81.5%
18 48.4%
17 18.5%
16 3.9%
15 1.3%
14 1.2%
13 0.6%
12 0.0%
OVERALL 57.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.8%
2 1.4% 1.4%
3 2.5% 0.8%
4 3.9% 0.6%
5 5.5% 0.4%
6 6.5% 0.3%
7 5.2% 0.2%
8 4.4% 0.1%
9 4.7% 0.1%
10 5.2% 0.1%
11 5.9% 0.1%
12 7.2% 0.1%
13 3.7% 0.0%
14 1.0% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.