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Make Tournament

99.4%

Automatic Bid

30.8%

At Large Bid

68.6%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (15.7%)

Final Four

13.4%

NCAA Champs

3.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.8%
19 97.2%
18 86.9%
17 68.0%
16 30.8%
15 6.0%
OVERALL 99.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.6% 9.9%
2 15.2% 5.7%
3 15.7% 3.6%
4 14.4% 2.4%
5 12.1% 1.6%
6 9.8% 1.2%
7 7.7% 0.8%
8 5.8% 0.6%
9 4.2% 0.4%
10 3.0% 0.3%
11 2.0% 0.2%
12 1.0% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.