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Make Tournament

93.4%

Automatic Bid

19.3%

At Large Bid

74.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (11.0%)

Final Four

6.5%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.6%
19 96.9%
18 84.6%
17 55.6%
16 23.9%
15 5.5%
14 0.4%
OVERALL 93.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.7% 4.9%
2 7.6% 2.9%
3 9.4% 2.1%
4 10.3% 1.4%
5 11.0% 1.0%
6 10.6% 0.7%
7 7.4% 0.5%
8 5.2% 0.4%
9 4.9% 0.4%
10 5.4% 0.3%
11 6.1% 0.3%
12 7.5% 0.2%
13 3.6% 0.1%
14 0.7% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.