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Make Tournament

43.6%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

40.3%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.6%)

Final Four

0.5%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.9%
27 99.6%
26 97.7%
25 88.4%
24 68.1%
23 36.7%
22 9.8%
21 1.4%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 43.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.4% 0.2%
4 1.5% 0.1%
5 3.3% 0.1%
6 5.5% 0.1%
7 7.6% 0.0%
8 8.6% 0.0%
9 7.8% 0.0%
10 5.4% 0.0%
11 2.7% 0.0%
12 0.8% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.