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Make Tournament

58.5%

Automatic Bid

14.4%

At Large Bid

44.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.5%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 98.3%
20 91.6%
19 71.6%
18 38.3%
17 9.2%
16 0.9%
15 0.4%
14 0.8%
OVERALL 58.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.5% 0.5%
3 1.9% 0.3%
4 4.0% 0.3%
5 5.9% 0.1%
6 7.5% 0.1%
7 8.4% 0.1%
8 8.5% 0.1%
9 7.7% 0.0%
10 6.4% 0.0%
11 4.8% 0.0%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.