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Make Tournament

11.4%

Automatic Bid

5.0%

At Large Bid

6.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (2.7%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 95.8%
23 82.6%
22 54.3%
21 25.5%
20 7.2%
19 2.1%
18 1.5%
17 0.8%
16 0.5%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 11.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.3% 0.0%
7 0.5% 0.0%
8 0.8% 0.0%
9 1.1% 0.0%
10 1.5% 0.0%
11 2.1% 0.0%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.