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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

24.3%

At Large Bid

75.7%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (30.4%)

Final Four

19.7%

NCAA Champs

5.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.7%
22 97.8%
21 87.2%
20 38.7%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.5% 7.8%
2 24.0% 6.3%
3 30.4% 5.2%
4 21.2% 4.6%
5 11.0% 3.7%
6 5.2% 3.2%
7 2.4% 2.8%
8 1.2% 2.3%
9 0.5% 2.2%
10 0.3% 2.1%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.