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Make Tournament

94.5%

Automatic Bid

6.7%

At Large Bid

87.8%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (10.6%)

Final Four

5.2%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.8%
19 94.9%
18 79.9%
17 53.7%
16 20.7%
15 6.1%
14 0.1%
OVERALL 94.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.4% 3.8%
2 8.6% 2.1%
3 10.1% 1.3%
4 10.6% 0.8%
5 10.5% 0.6%
6 9.8% 0.4%
7 8.9% 0.3%
8 7.9% 0.2%
9 7.0% 0.1%
10 6.1% 0.1%
11 5.4% 0.1%
12 3.6% 0.1%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.