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Make Tournament

98.8%

Automatic Bid

35.7%

At Large Bid

63.1%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (24.6%)

Final Four

21.5%

NCAA Champs

5.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.2%
22 90.5%
21 57.9%
20 17.6%
19 3.4%
18 0.3%
OVERALL 98.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 24.6% 10.2%
2 24.4% 6.0%
3 17.5% 4.2%
4 12.3% 3.0%
5 8.3% 2.0%
6 5.0% 1.6%
7 2.6% 1.3%
8 1.5% 0.9%
9 1.1% 1.0%
10 0.7% 0.7%
11 0.5% 0.7%
12 0.3% 0.6%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.