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Make Tournament

98.4%

Automatic Bid

22.7%

At Large Bid

75.7%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (29.1%)

Final Four

13.0%

NCAA Champs

2.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.8%
21 95.0%
20 77.2%
19 49.5%
18 14.1%
17 1.1%
16 0.1%
OVERALL 98.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 29.1% 5.3%
2 21.8% 2.7%
3 14.4% 1.8%
4 9.5% 1.1%
5 5.9% 0.8%
6 3.8% 0.6%
7 3.6% 0.5%
8 3.4% 0.4%
9 2.6% 0.3%
10 1.9% 0.3%
11 1.3% 0.2%
12 0.8% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.