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Make Tournament

24.5%

Automatic Bid

2.5%

At Large Bid

22.0%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (3.4%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.6%
22 95.3%
21 79.8%
20 46.3%
19 15.7%
18 2.3%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 24.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.8%
2 0.7% 0.6%
3 1.1% 0.3%
4 1.7% 0.1%
5 1.9% 0.1%
6 2.1% 0.1%
7 2.5% 0.1%
8 3.0% 0.0%
9 3.4% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 2.7% 0.0%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.