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Make Tournament

95.4%

Automatic Bid

9.0%

At Large Bid

86.4%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (16.1%)

Final Four

4.7%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.9%
21 87.6%
20 53.0%
19 12.5%
18 0.3%
OVERALL 95.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.4% 2.3%
3 4.7% 1.7%
4 8.9% 1.2%
5 13.4% 0.9%
6 16.1% 0.6%
7 15.8% 0.4%
8 13.1% 0.3%
9 9.8% 0.3%
10 6.6% 0.2%
11 3.9% 0.2%
12 1.5% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.