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Make Tournament

92.6%

Automatic Bid

0.7%

At Large Bid

91.9%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (15.1%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.7%
19 97.4%
18 74.9%
17 8.8%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 92.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 0.7%
3 1.7% 0.6%
4 3.2% 0.4%
5 5.0% 0.3%
6 7.0% 0.2%
7 9.1% 0.1%
8 11.1% 0.1%
9 12.7% 0.1%
10 13.9% 0.1%
11 15.1% 0.0%
12 12.2% 0.0%
13 0.8% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.