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Make Tournament

68.6%

Automatic Bid

32.6%

At Large Bid

36.0%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.9%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 99.9%
29 99.4%
28 97.0%
27 91.8%
26 80.9%
25 60.8%
24 36.8%
23 17.1%
22 7.1%
21 2.6%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 68.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 1.0% 0.8%
4 2.6% 0.5%
5 4.9% 0.3%
6 7.2% 0.3%
7 8.9% 0.2%
8 9.9% 0.2%
9 9.9% 0.1%
10 9.2% 0.1%
11 8.1% 0.1%
12 6.0% 0.1%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.