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Make Tournament

28.8%

Automatic Bid

12.0%

At Large Bid

16.7%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (5.5%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.2%
25 96.9%
24 91.4%
23 76.7%
22 54.6%
21 30.1%
20 12.3%
19 3.6%
18 1.7%
17 0.5%
16 0.5%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 28.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.0%
6 1.3% 0.0%
7 2.2% 0.0%
8 3.2% 0.0%
9 4.2% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 5.5% 0.0%
12 5.0% 0.0%
13 1.0% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.