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Make Tournament

9.0%

Automatic Bid

6.6%

At Large Bid

2.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (1.5%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 99.5%
25 92.1%
24 76.7%
23 48.7%
22 23.2%
21 14.9%
20 6.6%
19 2.0%
18 1.2%
17 0.3%
16 0.1%
OVERALL 9.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.3% 0.0%
6 0.5% 0.0%
7 0.7% 0.0%
8 0.9% 0.0%
9 0.9% 0.0%
10 1.0% 0.0%
11 1.0% 0.0%
12 1.5% 0.0%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.