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Make Tournament

50.1%

Automatic Bid

2.8%

At Large Bid

47.3%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (6.6%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 98.4%
23 93.7%
22 80.3%
21 55.1%
20 25.9%
19 7.8%
18 1.0%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 50.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 1.4%
2 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.4% 0.4%
4 4.6% 0.3%
5 5.7% 0.2%
6 6.3% 0.1%
7 6.6% 0.1%
8 6.3% 0.1%
9 5.5% 0.1%
10 4.3% 0.0%
11 3.0% 0.0%
12 1.4% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.