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Make Tournament

73.4%

Automatic Bid

3.8%

At Large Bid

69.6%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (10.1%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.2%
17 93.4%
16 68.9%
15 25.7%
14 3.7%
13 0.3%
OVERALL 73.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 1.8%
2 1.9% 1.3%
3 3.0% 0.8%
4 4.1% 0.6%
5 5.1% 0.3%
6 5.9% 0.2%
7 6.6% 0.2%
8 7.3% 0.1%
9 8.0% 0.1%
10 8.8% 0.1%
11 10.1% 0.1%
12 9.9% 0.0%
13 1.8% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.