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Make Tournament

68.5%

Automatic Bid

4.0%

At Large Bid

64.6%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (15.0%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.8%
19 98.5%
18 87.0%
17 51.1%
16 10.4%
15 0.3%
OVERALL 68.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.6%
4 0.8% 0.4%
5 1.7% 0.3%
6 2.9% 0.2%
7 4.5% 0.2%
8 6.4% 0.1%
9 8.8% 0.1%
10 11.7% 0.1%
11 15.0% 0.1%
12 14.4% 0.1%
13 1.8% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.