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Make Tournament

79.8%

Automatic Bid

4.4%

At Large Bid

75.3%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (9.4%)

Final Four

3.5%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.6%
15 94.0%
14 57.6%
13 12.9%
12 0.2%
OVERALL 79.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 2.9%
2 2.0% 1.9%
3 3.6% 1.4%
4 5.2% 0.9%
5 6.6% 0.7%
6 7.8% 0.6%
7 8.6% 0.4%
8 9.0% 0.3%
9 9.3% 0.2%
10 9.3% 0.2%
11 9.4% 0.2%
12 7.7% 0.1%
13 0.8% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.