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Make Tournament

78.4%

Automatic Bid

6.0%

At Large Bid

72.4%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (9.8%)

Final Four

6.9%

NCAA Champs

1.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.3%
23 94.9%
22 82.5%
21 58.9%
20 28.3%
19 5.7%
18 0.7%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 78.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.3% 4.5%
2 8.6% 2.8%
3 9.6% 1.7%
4 9.8% 1.2%
5 9.4% 0.8%
6 8.5% 0.7%
7 7.4% 0.5%
8 6.4% 0.3%
9 5.2% 0.3%
10 4.0% 0.2%
11 2.8% 0.2%
12 1.3% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.