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Make Tournament

80.9%

Automatic Bid

10.8%

At Large Bid

70.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (12.4%)

Final Four

4.5%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 97.8%
20 86.0%
19 53.9%
18 17.4%
17 4.4%
16 0.4%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
12 0.0%
OVERALL 80.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.2% 2.8%
2 6.2% 1.5%
3 8.3% 0.9%
4 10.0% 0.6%
5 11.7% 0.5%
6 12.4% 0.3%
7 8.6% 0.3%
8 4.9% 0.2%
9 3.9% 0.1%
10 3.6% 0.1%
11 3.5% 0.1%
12 3.2% 0.1%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.