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Make Tournament

70.5%

Automatic Bid

0.9%

At Large Bid

69.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (12.6%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.5%
20 91.2%
19 62.0%
18 18.9%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 70.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.0%
2 1.1% 1.2%
3 2.0% 0.6%
4 3.0% 0.5%
5 4.0% 0.3%
6 4.9% 0.2%
7 5.7% 0.1%
8 6.6% 0.1%
9 7.8% 0.1%
10 9.4% 0.1%
11 12.3% 0.0%
12 12.6% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.