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Make Tournament

99.4%

Automatic Bid

13.1%

At Large Bid

86.3%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.9%)

Final Four

14.9%

NCAA Champs

3.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.1%
19 93.8%
18 69.0%
17 27.0%
16 6.8%
15 0.3%
OVERALL 99.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.2% 10.3%
2 13.3% 6.9%
3 14.9% 5.0%
4 14.7% 3.6%
5 13.4% 2.7%
6 10.3% 2.1%
7 6.6% 1.7%
8 5.1% 1.3%
9 4.4% 1.2%
10 3.7% 1.0%
11 3.0% 0.8%
12 2.3% 0.6%
13 0.6% 0.5%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.