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Make Tournament

41.1%

Automatic Bid

2.4%

At Large Bid

38.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.5%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.5%
22 95.4%
21 78.7%
20 39.8%
19 8.6%
18 0.9%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 41.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 0.7%
3 0.8% 0.5%
4 1.6% 0.4%
5 2.7% 0.2%
6 4.1% 0.2%
7 4.0% 0.2%
8 3.4% 0.1%
9 3.7% 0.1%
10 4.4% 0.1%
11 5.3% 0.1%
12 6.5% 0.1%
13 3.3% 0.0%
14 0.7% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.