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Make Tournament

40.4%

Automatic Bid

1.1%

At Large Bid

39.3%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.4%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 98.7%
17 91.4%
16 67.9%
15 25.5%
14 2.9%
13 0.1%
OVERALL 40.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.3% 0.4%
3 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.0% 0.2%
5 3.4% 0.1%
6 4.8% 0.1%
7 5.8% 0.1%
8 6.4% 0.0%
9 6.2% 0.0%
10 5.2% 0.0%
11 3.7% 0.0%
12 1.7% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.