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Make Tournament

54.7%

Automatic Bid

8.1%

At Large Bid

46.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (7.8%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.8%
26 98.9%
25 94.7%
24 83.0%
23 60.8%
22 31.6%
21 10.9%
20 3.0%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 54.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.1% 1.2%
3 2.5% 0.8%
4 4.2% 0.5%
5 5.8% 0.3%
6 7.0% 0.2%
7 7.7% 0.1%
8 7.8% 0.1%
9 7.0% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 3.8% 0.1%
12 1.8% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.