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Make Tournament

54.7%

Automatic Bid

3.8%

At Large Bid

50.9%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (9.7%)

Final Four

4.7%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.8%
25 96.1%
24 76.0%
23 30.7%
22 4.8%
21 0.3%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 54.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 3.4%
2 2.7% 2.2%
3 3.2% 1.7%
4 3.1% 1.2%
5 3.9% 0.9%
6 6.8% 0.8%
7 9.7% 0.6%
8 8.3% 0.5%
9 6.0% 0.3%
10 4.2% 0.3%
11 3.0% 0.3%
12 1.9% 0.2%
13 0.5% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.