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Make Tournament

37.0%

Automatic Bid

1.5%

At Large Bid

35.5%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (5.6%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 97.1%
21 88.2%
20 68.2%
19 38.1%
18 13.8%
17 3.5%
16 0.4%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 37.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 1.4%
3 1.1% 0.9%
4 1.7% 0.5%
5 2.0% 0.3%
6 2.5% 0.2%
7 3.5% 0.2%
8 4.6% 0.1%
9 5.3% 0.1%
10 5.6% 0.0%
11 5.5% 0.0%
12 4.0% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.