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Make Tournament

43.6%

Automatic Bid

7.9%

At Large Bid

35.7%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (5.0%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.7%
24 96.7%
23 79.1%
22 43.9%
21 8.3%
20 0.9%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 43.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.8% 0.1%
4 2.7% 0.1%
5 3.6% 0.1%
6 3.9% 0.0%
7 3.9% 0.0%
8 4.4% 0.0%
9 4.8% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 5.0% 0.0%
12 4.9% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.