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Make Tournament

95.0%

Automatic Bid

20.9%

At Large Bid

74.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (15.3%)

Final Four

4.6%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.4%
23 97.5%
22 86.9%
21 56.7%
20 17.2%
19 2.1%
18 0.1%
OVERALL 95.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.7%
2 2.9% 1.5%
3 8.5% 1.3%
4 13.3% 0.9%
5 15.3% 0.6%
6 15.2% 0.4%
7 13.7% 0.3%
8 11.0% 0.2%
9 7.7% 0.2%
10 4.5% 0.2%
11 2.1% 0.1%
12 0.6% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.