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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

34.8%

At Large Bid

65.2%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (44.9%)

Final Four

33.8%

NCAA Champs

11.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.4%
16 95.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 44.9% 15.0%
2 31.2% 10.6%
3 12.7% 7.7%
4 5.8% 6.1%
5 2.8% 5.0%
6 1.4% 3.6%
7 0.7% 2.7%
8 0.3% 3.6%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 11.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.