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Make Tournament

99.7%

Automatic Bid

6.5%

At Large Bid

93.2%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (17.9%)

Final Four

5.1%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.7%
19 95.0%
OVERALL 99.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 1.1% 1.5%
4 4.8% 1.3%
5 11.8% 1.0%
6 16.7% 0.9%
7 17.9% 0.7%
8 16.8% 0.6%
9 13.9% 0.6%
10 9.6% 0.6%
11 5.1% 0.4%
12 1.5% 0.4%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.