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Make Tournament

87.4%

Automatic Bid

3.4%

At Large Bid

84.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (17.8%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 98.9%
23 93.4%
22 69.7%
21 24.6%
20 2.5%
19 0.2%
OVERALL 87.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.7% 0.4%
4 2.2% 0.3%
5 5.5% 0.3%
6 10.9% 0.2%
7 16.5% 0.2%
8 17.8% 0.1%
9 14.7% 0.1%
10 10.1% 0.1%
11 5.8% 0.1%
12 2.7% 0.1%
13 0.5% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.