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Make Tournament

48.9%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

45.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (8.4%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 99.6%
22 97.6%
21 91.6%
20 73.8%
19 41.8%
18 11.6%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 48.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 1.4%
3 0.8% 0.7%
4 1.6% 0.6%
5 2.5% 0.4%
6 3.4% 0.3%
7 4.4% 0.2%
8 5.5% 0.1%
9 6.6% 0.1%
10 7.5% 0.1%
11 8.4% 0.1%
12 7.0% 0.1%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.