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Make Tournament

82.5%

Automatic Bid

2.5%

At Large Bid

80.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (10.8%)

Final Four

2.6%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.5%
22 96.7%
21 84.7%
20 57.7%
19 25.4%
18 3.9%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 82.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.0% 2.0%
3 2.9% 1.0%
4 5.8% 0.7%
5 8.5% 0.4%
6 9.9% 0.3%
7 10.6% 0.2%
8 10.8% 0.1%
9 10.5% 0.1%
10 9.6% 0.1%
11 8.2% 0.1%
12 4.3% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.