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Make Tournament

35.6%

Automatic Bid

2.6%

At Large Bid

33.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (5.8%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.0%
23 93.7%
22 68.3%
21 23.9%
20 2.7%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 35.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.1%
2 1.0% 0.7%
3 1.7% 0.4%
4 2.1% 0.3%
5 2.3% 0.2%
6 3.1% 0.2%
7 5.3% 0.1%
8 5.8% 0.1%
9 4.9% 0.1%
10 3.9% 0.1%
11 2.9% 0.1%
12 1.9% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.