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Make Tournament

22.1%

Automatic Bid

11.4%

At Large Bid

10.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.0%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 99.8%
29 99.3%
28 94.6%
27 85.6%
26 70.6%
25 53.2%
24 31.9%
23 18.0%
22 8.0%
21 3.9%
20 1.2%
19 0.8%
18 0.3%
17 0.2%
OVERALL 22.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.5% 0.0%
7 0.9% 0.0%
8 1.5% 0.0%
9 2.2% 0.0%
10 3.0% 0.0%
11 4.3% 0.0%
12 6.0% 0.0%
13 2.9% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.