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Make Tournament

96.3%

Automatic Bid

16.5%

At Large Bid

79.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (12.5%)

Final Four

9.8%

NCAA Champs

2.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.7%
20 97.9%
19 88.4%
18 64.7%
17 29.6%
16 6.0%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 96.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.4% 6.0%
2 12.3% 3.9%
3 12.5% 2.7%
4 11.6% 1.8%
5 10.1% 1.3%
6 8.4% 1.1%
7 7.5% 0.8%
8 6.8% 0.6%
9 5.8% 0.5%
10 4.8% 0.5%
11 4.0% 0.4%
12 3.1% 0.3%
13 0.8% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.