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Make Tournament

93.8%

Automatic Bid

4.7%

At Large Bid

89.1%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (16.8%)

Final Four

5.0%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.6%
20 97.4%
19 84.6%
18 44.5%
17 0.8%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 93.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.6% 2.3%
3 2.5% 1.9%
4 5.4% 1.4%
5 9.0% 1.1%
6 13.0% 0.9%
7 16.2% 0.7%
8 16.8% 0.5%
9 13.9% 0.4%
10 9.4% 0.4%
11 5.2% 0.4%
12 1.6% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.