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Make Tournament

96.4%

Automatic Bid

10.8%

At Large Bid

85.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (18.9%)

Final Four

13.8%

NCAA Champs

3.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.5%
21 97.0%
20 87.4%
19 69.2%
18 21.3%
17 1.5%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 96.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 18.6% 7.1%
2 18.9% 3.8%
3 14.9% 2.6%
4 11.5% 1.8%
5 8.8% 1.3%
6 6.7% 0.9%
7 5.2% 0.8%
8 4.1% 0.5%
9 3.1% 0.4%
10 2.3% 0.5%
11 1.6% 0.3%
12 0.7% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.