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Make Tournament

42.9%

Automatic Bid

3.5%

At Large Bid

39.4%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (7.7%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.9%
27 99.5%
26 95.9%
25 82.8%
24 53.4%
23 19.8%
22 3.6%
21 0.2%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 42.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.5% 0.5%
3 2.1% 0.3%
4 4.5% 0.2%
5 6.6% 0.1%
6 7.7% 0.1%
7 7.5% 0.1%
8 6.0% 0.0%
9 4.1% 0.0%
10 2.4% 0.0%
11 1.2% 0.0%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.