Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
|Day||Status||TR Pick||Game||Confidence||Odds||Similar Games||Decision Tree|
|8/17||Wrong||901 Over 7.5||NY Mets at Philadelphia||50.8%||Under 61.5%||Under 50.2%|
|8/17||Right||915 Over 9.0||Toronto at NY Yankees||50.9%||Under 54.6%||Over 53.5%|
|8/17||Right||903 Over 8.0||Miami at Washington||50.9%||Under 58.0%||Over 51.7%|
|8/17||Right||905 Under 8.0||Chi Cubs at Pittsburgh||51.4%||Under 51.6%||Under 50.7%|
|8/17||Right||907 Under 9.5||SF Giants at Cincinnati||51.1%||Over 53.2%||Under 51.2%|
|8/17||Right||917 Under 9.0||Baltimore at Cleveland||51.2%||Over 57.4%||Over 58.7%|
|8/17||Right||919 Over 9.5||Tampa Bay at Boston||50.8%||Over 51.3%||Over 57.7%|
|8/17||Right||909 Over 8.5||Colorado at Atlanta||50.4%||Over 52.7%||Over 53.6%|
|8/17||Right||921 Under 11.0||LA Angels at Texas||50.8%||Over 53.1%||Under 60.9%|
|8/17||Right||923 Over 8.5||Detroit at Minnesota||51.0%||Under 50.9%||Over 59.8%|
|8/17||Right||925 Over 8.5||Kansas City at Chi Sox||50.9%||Under 50.7%||Under 52.3%|
|8/17||Right||911 Under 8.0||Milwaukee at St. Louis||51.9%||Under 55.8%||Over 55.2%|
|8/17||Right||927 Under 8.0||Houston at Oakland||50.4%||Over 51.4%||Over 56.2%|
|8/17||Wrong||929 Under 8.0||LA Dodgers at Seattle||51.7%||Over 52.2%||Over 50.7%|
|8/17||Wrong||913 Under 7.5||Arizona at San Diego||51.0%||Under 52.4%||Under 61.5%|
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