Our MLB betting picks are a hit

About Our MLB Betting Picks

Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.

The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.

Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Game Confidence Odds Similar Games Decision Tree
9/22 Wrong 965 Under 9.5 Tampa Bay at Baltimore 51.7% Under 60.6% Under 54.4%
9/22 Right 951 Under 8.5 St. Louis at Pittsburgh 50.8% Under 52.5% Under 58.7%
9/22 Right 967 Over 8.5 NY Yankees at Toronto 51.7% Under 51.9% Over 55.6%
9/22 Right 979 Under 9.5 Boston at Cincinnati 52.6% Under 57.2% Under 62.7%
9/22 Wrong 953 Under 9.0 Washington at NY Mets 51.6% Under 59.2% Under 51.1%
9/22 Push 969 Over 10.0 Minnesota at Detroit 50.5% Over 56.5% Under 58.4%
9/22 Wrong 957 Over 9.5 Chi Cubs at Milwaukee 50.4% Under 59.0% Under 50.7%
9/22 Right 955 Under 9.5 Philadelphia at Atlanta 51.3% Over 57.1% Under 53.0%
9/22 Right 971 Under 8.0 LA Angels at Houston 50.3% Under 58.4% Under 50.7%
9/22 Right 973 Over 9.5 Kansas City at Chi Sox 50.9% Under 55.3% Under 52.6%
9/22 Wrong 959 Under 9.5 Miami at Arizona 50.6% Over 59.3% Over 50.8%
9/22 Wrong 975 Over 9.5 Texas at Oakland 51.2% Over 53.8% Over 55.7%
9/22 Right 963 Under 7.5 SF Giants at LA Dodgers 50.3% Over 52.4% Over 60.1%
9/22 Right 977 Under 8.5 Cleveland at Seattle 53.6% Over 60.9% Under 61.6%
9/22 Right 961 Under 8.0 Colorado at San Diego 51.8% Over 54.0% Under 60.5%