Our MLB betting picks are a hit

About Our MLB Betting Picks

Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.

The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.

Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Game Confidence Odds Similar Games Decision Tree
8/17 Wrong 901 Over 7.5 NY Mets at Philadelphia 50.8% Under 61.5% Under 50.2%
8/17 Right 915 Over 9.0 Toronto at NY Yankees 50.9% Under 54.6% Over 53.5%
8/17 Right 903 Over 8.0 Miami at Washington 50.9% Under 58.0% Over 51.7%
8/17 Right 905 Under 8.0 Chi Cubs at Pittsburgh 51.4% Under 51.6% Under 50.7%
8/17 Right 907 Under 9.5 SF Giants at Cincinnati 51.1% Over 53.2% Under 51.2%
8/17 Right 917 Under 9.0 Baltimore at Cleveland 51.2% Over 57.4% Over 58.7%
8/17 Right 919 Over 9.5 Tampa Bay at Boston 50.8% Over 51.3% Over 57.7%
8/17 Right 909 Over 8.5 Colorado at Atlanta 50.4% Over 52.7% Over 53.6%
8/17 Right 921 Under 11.0 LA Angels at Texas 50.8% Over 53.1% Under 60.9%
8/17 Right 923 Over 8.5 Detroit at Minnesota 51.0% Under 50.9% Over 59.8%
8/17 Right 925 Over 8.5 Kansas City at Chi Sox 50.9% Under 50.7% Under 52.3%
8/17 Right 911 Under 8.0 Milwaukee at St. Louis 51.9% Under 55.8% Over 55.2%
8/17 Right 927 Under 8.0 Houston at Oakland 50.4% Over 51.4% Over 56.2%
8/17 Wrong 929 Under 8.0 LA Dodgers at Seattle 51.7% Over 52.2% Over 50.7%
8/17 Wrong 913 Under 7.5 Arizona at San Diego 51.0% Under 52.4% Under 61.5%