Our MLB betting picks are a hit

About Our MLB Betting Picks

Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.

The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.

Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Game Confidence Odds Similar Games Decision Tree
7/21 Wrong 901 Under 8.0 St. Louis at Chi Cubs 50.4% Over 58.1% Over 56.7%
7/21 Wrong 915 Under 11.0 Houston at Baltimore 51.2% Over 54.2% Under 52.9%
7/21 Right 903 Under 9.0 Milwaukee at Philadelphia 50.3% Under 52.6% Under 53.5%
7/21 Right 917 Under 8.5 Texas at Tampa Bay 51.8% Under 58.4% Over 56.4%
7/21 Wrong 905 Over 10.0 Miami at Cincinnati 50.1% Over 59.5% Under 59.6%
7/21 Right 929 Over 9.5 Oakland at NY Mets 50.1% Under 50.2% Over 53.7%
7/21 Wrong 919 Under 9.5 Toronto at Cleveland 50.7% Under 53.1% Over 52.8%
7/21 Wrong 921 Over 9.5 Detroit at Minnesota 51.3% Under 59.9% Over 55.2%
7/21 Wrong 923 Under 10.5 Chi Sox at Kansas City 50.7% Under 51.8% Over 50.3%
7/21 Right 907 Over 12.0 Pittsburgh at Colorado 50.5% Under 54.9% Over 52.6%
7/21 Wrong 909 Under 8.5 Washington at Arizona 50.1% Under 63.2% Over 53.6%
7/21 Wrong 925 Under 7.5 Boston at LA Angels 50.8% Under 53.6% Under 52.2%
7/21 Wrong 911 Under 8.0 Atlanta at LA Dodgers 50.7% Under 57.9% Over 51.8%
7/21 Right 927 Under 9.0 NY Yankees at Seattle 51.3% Over 53.7% Under 52.8%
7/21 Right 913 Over 7.0 San Diego at SF Giants 50.5% Under 72.7% Over 53.5%