MLB Baseball Over Under Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2014 and 2015), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 275-200-32 (58%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Game | Confidence | Odds | Similar Games | Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23 | Wrong | 951 Over 7.0 | St. Louis at Chi Cubs | 50.7% | Under 64.7% 
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Over 51.3% 
|
|
| 9/23 | Right | 979 Under 10.0 | Arizona at Baltimore | 50.1% | Over 56.7%
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Under 52.9%
|
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| 9/23 | Wrong | 953 Under 8.0 | Washington at Pittsburgh | 52.8% | Over 56.7%
|
Under 55.7%
|
|
| 9/23 | Right | 965 Under 9.5 | NY Yankees at Toronto | 50.2% | Over 72.4%
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Over 51.8%
|
|
| 9/23 | Wrong | 955 Over 8.5 | Atlanta at Miami | 50.3% | Under 65.2%
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Over 58.3%
|
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| 9/23 | Right | 969 Over 8.0 | Kansas City at Detroit | 50.7% | Under 57.7%
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Over 53.9%
|
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| 9/23 | Right | 967 Under 7.5 | Boston at Tampa Bay | 54.9% | Over 54.8%
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Under 62.9%
|
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| 9/23 | Wrong | 957 Under 8.0 | Philadelphia at NY Mets | 50.9% | Under 51.3%
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Over 54.9%
|
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| 9/23 | Right | 971 Over 8.5 | Chi Sox at Cleveland | 51.1% | Over 55.4%
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Over 51.8%
|
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| 9/23 | Wrong | 975 Under 9.0 | Seattle at Minnesota | 50.7% | Under 51.8%
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Under 58.1%
|
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| 9/23 | Wrong | 973 Under 9.0 | LA Angels at Houston | 51.5% | Under 53.5%
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Under 52.7%
|
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| 9/23 | Right | 959 Over 8.5 | Cincinnati at Milwaukee | 50.5% | Under 56.3%
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Over 65.1%
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| 9/23 | Right | 977 Under 8.0 | Texas at Oakland | 50.7% | Under 54.8%
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Over 54.1%
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| 9/23 | Right | 961 Under 7.5 | Colorado at LA Dodgers | 50.8% | Over 51.0%
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Over 56.7%
|
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| 9/23 | Wrong | 963 Under 8.0 | SF Giants at San Diego | 50.8% | Under 55.5%
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Under 62.5%
|