Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
|Day||Status||TR Pick||Game||Confidence||Odds||Similar Games||Decision Tree|
|4/20||Wrong||931 Over 8.0||Kansas City at Detroit||50.7%||Under 68.2%||Under 54.4%|
|4/20||Wrong||915 Under 8.5||Toronto at NY Yankees||50.1%||Under 57.9%||Under 55.3%|
|4/20||Wrong||901 Over 8.0||Pittsburgh at Philadelphia||50.8%||Under 58.7%||Over 52.2%|
|4/20||Right||917 Under 7.5||Cleveland at Baltimore||51.5%||Under 53.4%||Under 65.0%|
|4/20||Wrong||921 Under 7.5||Minnesota at Tampa Bay||51.7%||Under 52.6%||Under 53.8%|
|4/20||Wrong||919 Over 8.0||Kansas City at Detroit||51.5%||Under 66.3%||Over 51.1%|
|4/20||Right||903 Over 7.5||NY Mets at Atlanta||51.3%||Under 51.9%||Over 57.5%|
|4/20||Wrong||923 Over 9.0||Seattle at Texas||50.1%||Under 54.6%||Under 62.7%|
|4/20||Wrong||905 Over 9.0||Miami at Milwaukee||51.2%||Over 50.4%||Over 56.6%|
|4/20||Wrong||925 Under 8.0||Houston at Chi Sox||50.2%||Under 58.8%||Under 56.8%|
|4/20||Right||907 Under 8.5||Cincinnati at St. Louis||50.3%||Under 53.5%||Over 60.5%|
|4/20||Wrong||909 Under 10.0||Chi Cubs at Colorado||50.3%||Under 52.8%||Over 50.3%|
|4/20||Right||911 Under 8.5||San Diego at Arizona||50.1%||Under 50.4%||Over 55.4%|
|4/20||Wrong||927 Under 9.0||Boston at Oakland||51.4%||Over 54.0%||Under 52.8%|
|4/20||Wrong||929 Under 8.5||SF Giants at LA Angels||50.7%||Over 57.0%||Over 55.3%|
|4/20||Wrong||913 Under 6.0||Washington at LA Dodgers||51.0%||Under 60.7%||Under 50.9%|
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