MLB Baseball Over Under Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Game | Confidence | Odds | Similar Games | Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/22 | Wrong | 965 Under 9.5 | Tampa Bay at Baltimore | 51.7% | Under 60.6% 
|
Under 54.4%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 951 Under 8.5 | St. Louis at Pittsburgh | 50.8% | Under 52.5% 
|
Under 58.7%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 967 Over 8.5 | NY Yankees at Toronto | 51.7% | Under 51.9%
|
Over 55.6%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 979 Under 9.5 | Boston at Cincinnati | 52.6% | Under 57.2%
|
Under 62.7%
|
|
| 9/22 | Wrong | 953 Under 9.0 | Washington at NY Mets | 51.6% | Under 59.2%
|
Under 51.1%
|
|
| 9/22 | Push | 969 Over 10.0 | Minnesota at Detroit | 50.5% | Over 56.5% | Under 58.4% | |
| 9/22 | Wrong | 957 Over 9.5 | Chi Cubs at Milwaukee | 50.4% | Under 59.0%
|
Under 50.7%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 955 Under 9.5 | Philadelphia at Atlanta | 51.3% | Over 57.1%
|
Under 53.0%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 971 Under 8.0 | LA Angels at Houston | 50.3% | Under 58.4%
|
Under 50.7%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 973 Over 9.5 | Kansas City at Chi Sox | 50.9% | Under 55.3%
|
Under 52.6%
|
|
| 9/22 | Wrong | 959 Under 9.5 | Miami at Arizona | 50.6% | Over 59.3%
|
Over 50.8%
|
|
| 9/22 | Wrong | 975 Over 9.5 | Texas at Oakland | 51.2% | Over 53.8%
|
Over 55.7%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 963 Under 7.5 | SF Giants at LA Dodgers | 50.3% | Over 52.4%
|
Over 60.1%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 977 Under 8.5 | Cleveland at Seattle | 53.6% | Over 60.9%
|
Under 61.6%
|
|
| 9/22 | Right | 961 Under 8.0 | Colorado at San Diego | 51.8% | Over 54.0%
|
Under 60.5%
|