MLB Baseball Over Under Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Game | Confidence | Odds | Similar Games | Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/21 | Wrong | 901 Under 8.0 | St. Louis at Chi Cubs | 50.4% | Over 58.1% 
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Over 56.7%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 915 Under 11.0 | Houston at Baltimore | 51.2% | Over 54.2%
|
Under 52.9% 
|
|
| 7/21 | Right | 903 Under 9.0 | Milwaukee at Philadelphia | 50.3% | Under 52.6%
|
Under 53.5%
|
|
| 7/21 | Right | 917 Under 8.5 | Texas at Tampa Bay | 51.8% | Under 58.4%
|
Over 56.4%
|
|
| 7/21 | Wrong | 905 Over 10.0 | Miami at Cincinnati | 50.1% | Over 59.5%
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Under 59.6%
|
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| 7/21 | Right | 929 Over 9.5 | Oakland at NY Mets | 50.1% | Under 50.2%
|
Over 53.7%
|
|
| 7/21 | Wrong | 919 Under 9.5 | Toronto at Cleveland | 50.7% | Under 53.1%
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Over 52.8%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 921 Over 9.5 | Detroit at Minnesota | 51.3% | Under 59.9%
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Over 55.2%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 923 Under 10.5 | Chi Sox at Kansas City | 50.7% | Under 51.8%
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Over 50.3%
|
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| 7/21 | Right | 907 Over 12.0 | Pittsburgh at Colorado | 50.5% | Under 54.9%
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Over 52.6%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 909 Under 8.5 | Washington at Arizona | 50.1% | Under 63.2%
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Over 53.6%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 925 Under 7.5 | Boston at LA Angels | 50.8% | Under 53.6%
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Under 52.2%
|
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| 7/21 | Wrong | 911 Under 8.0 | Atlanta at LA Dodgers | 50.7% | Under 57.9%
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Over 51.8%
|
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| 7/21 | Right | 927 Under 9.0 | NY Yankees at Seattle | 51.3% | Over 53.7%
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Under 52.8%
|
|
| 7/21 | Right | 913 Over 7.0 | San Diego at SF Giants | 50.5% | Under 72.7%
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Over 53.5%
|