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Make Tournament

99.3%

Automatic Bid

24.8%

At Large Bid

74.6%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (28.3%)

Final Four

20.5%

NCAA Champs

6.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 99.3%
19 97.4%
18 85.8%
17 53.8%
16 27.7%
OVERALL 99.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 28.3% 12.1%
2 18.9% 6.7%
3 13.9% 4.5%
4 10.6% 3.1%
5 7.9% 2.4%
6 5.9% 1.8%
7 4.4% 1.3%
8 3.2% 0.8%
9 2.4% 0.7%
10 1.8% 0.7%
11 1.3% 0.4%
12 0.7% 0.3%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.