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Make Tournament

72.8%

Automatic Bid

5.2%

At Large Bid

67.6%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (9.2%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.7%
23 97.7%
22 93.4%
21 78.3%
20 51.5%
19 24.5%
18 4.9%
17 0.2%
OVERALL 72.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 3.1%
2 2.9% 1.9%
3 4.9% 1.1%
4 6.7% 0.8%
5 8.0% 0.5%
6 8.9% 0.3%
7 9.2% 0.3%
8 9.0% 0.2%
9 8.3% 0.1%
10 6.9% 0.1%
11 4.9% 0.1%
12 2.1% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.