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Make Tournament

54.9%

Automatic Bid

3.7%

At Large Bid

51.2%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (7.4%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 98.1%
21 86.4%
20 49.9%
19 11.8%
18 1.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 54.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.8% 0.7%
4 1.8% 0.4%
5 2.9% 0.4%
6 4.1% 0.3%
7 5.6% 0.2%
8 6.8% 0.2%
9 7.3% 0.1%
10 7.4% 0.1%
11 7.3% 0.1%
12 7.2% 0.1%
13 2.9% 0.1%
14 0.5% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.