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Make Tournament

69.5%

Automatic Bid

11.8%

At Large Bid

57.7%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (8.5%)

Final Four

9.1%

NCAA Champs

2.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.3%
22 92.7%
21 72.2%
20 32.7%
19 7.0%
18 0.7%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 69.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.5% 6.6%
2 7.5% 4.2%
3 7.3% 2.8%
4 6.1% 2.1%
5 4.7% 1.6%
6 5.3% 1.4%
7 8.5% 1.1%
8 8.0% 0.8%
9 6.1% 0.7%
10 4.4% 0.6%
11 3.2% 0.5%
12 2.1% 0.3%
13 0.6% 0.2%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.