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Make Tournament

69.6%

Automatic Bid

10.8%

At Large Bid

58.8%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.5%)

Final Four

4.0%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.7%
22 92.0%
21 71.9%
20 35.8%
19 9.9%
18 1.6%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 69.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.3% 3.3%
2 4.6% 1.9%
3 5.9% 1.1%
4 7.2% 0.8%
5 8.4% 0.5%
6 8.5% 0.4%
7 5.9% 0.3%
8 4.7% 0.2%
9 4.9% 0.2%
10 5.0% 0.2%
11 5.1% 0.1%
12 4.8% 0.1%
13 1.8% 0.1%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.