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Make Tournament

86.1%

Automatic Bid

7.4%

At Large Bid

78.7%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (11.4%)

Final Four

2.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.2%
21 95.2%
20 75.5%
19 37.8%
18 8.4%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 86.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 1.1%
2 2.4% 0.5%
3 5.5% 0.4%
4 8.5% 0.3%
5 10.7% 0.2%
6 11.4% 0.2%
7 10.5% 0.1%
8 9.4% 0.1%
9 8.3% 0.1%
10 7.1% 0.1%
11 5.9% 0.1%
12 4.4% 0.0%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.