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Make Tournament

55.4%

Automatic Bid

2.9%

At Large Bid

52.5%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (7.6%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.8%
21 96.3%
20 85.6%
19 61.0%
18 29.6%
17 6.7%
16 0.6%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 55.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 1.7%
2 1.2% 0.8%
3 2.1% 0.5%
4 3.0% 0.3%
5 3.9% 0.2%
6 4.7% 0.1%
7 5.5% 0.1%
8 6.2% 0.1%
9 6.9% 0.0%
10 7.4% 0.0%
11 7.6% 0.0%
12 5.7% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.