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Make Tournament

99.3%

Automatic Bid

9.0%

At Large Bid

90.4%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (22.4%)

Final Four

6.5%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.8%
22 98.6%
21 90.3%
OVERALL 99.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 2.0%
3 2.6% 1.9%
4 10.0% 1.5%
5 20.2% 1.3%
6 22.4% 1.1%
7 18.3% 0.9%
8 12.7% 0.8%
9 7.4% 0.6%
10 3.5% 0.7%
11 1.3% 0.7%
12 0.3% 0.6%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.