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View Penn St. bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

48.7%

Automatic Bid

5.6%

At Large Bid

43.0%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (6.7%)

Final Four

2.5%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.4%
25 96.7%
24 87.3%
23 65.4%
22 33.7%
21 11.5%
20 1.6%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 48.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 2.2%
2 2.2% 1.1%
3 4.1% 0.8%
4 5.6% 0.6%
5 6.4% 0.4%
6 6.7% 0.3%
7 6.5% 0.2%
8 5.9% 0.1%
9 4.8% 0.1%
10 3.4% 0.1%
11 1.9% 0.1%
12 0.6% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.