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Make Tournament

67.5%

Automatic Bid

33.7%

At Large Bid

33.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (9.2%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 98.5%
23 90.6%
22 69.2%
21 32.7%
20 7.8%
19 1.1%
18 0.0%
17 1.5%
OVERALL 67.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.7% 2.2%
3 2.3% 1.6%
4 4.5% 1.2%
5 6.7% 0.7%
6 8.4% 0.6%
7 9.2% 0.5%
8 9.2% 0.3%
9 8.5% 0.2%
10 7.2% 0.2%
11 5.9% 0.2%
12 4.3% 0.1%
13 0.5% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.