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Make Tournament

98.7%

Automatic Bid

22.4%

At Large Bid

76.3%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (18.3%)

Final Four

14.7%

NCAA Champs

3.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.2%
19 94.6%
18 65.7%
17 6.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 98.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 11.2% 9.2%
2 18.3% 5.5%
3 17.0% 3.7%
4 14.0% 2.7%
5 10.9% 1.8%
6 8.2% 1.4%
7 6.1% 1.0%
8 4.6% 0.8%
9 3.4% 0.6%
10 2.5% 0.5%
11 1.7% 0.4%
12 0.8% 0.3%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.