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Make Tournament

51.6%

Automatic Bid

6.9%

At Large Bid

44.7%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (7.5%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 96.6%
21 88.7%
20 68.3%
19 37.8%
18 11.7%
17 1.9%
OVERALL 51.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 1.6%
3 1.3% 1.1%
4 2.3% 0.6%
5 3.4% 0.4%
6 4.4% 0.3%
7 5.3% 0.2%
8 6.2% 0.1%
9 6.9% 0.1%
10 7.4% 0.1%
11 7.5% 0.1%
12 5.4% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.