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Make Tournament

86.6%

Automatic Bid

21.1%

At Large Bid

65.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (11.5%)

Final Four

8.5%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.7%
20 98.3%
19 91.5%
18 72.9%
17 42.6%
16 14.7%
15 3.9%
14 0.2%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 86.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.6% 7.6%
2 11.5% 3.5%
3 11.5% 1.8%
4 9.9% 1.0%
5 8.0% 0.7%
6 7.9% 0.6%
7 7.5% 0.3%
8 6.5% 0.2%
9 5.7% 0.1%
10 4.6% 0.1%
11 3.2% 0.0%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.