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Make Tournament

73.6%

Automatic Bid

15.8%

At Large Bid

57.8%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.7%)

Final Four

2.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 95.5%
21 72.6%
20 29.9%
19 5.0%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 73.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.4% 1.3%
2 4.1% 0.7%
3 6.5% 0.5%
4 8.2% 0.3%
5 8.7% 0.2%
6 7.8% 0.1%
7 6.8% 0.1%
8 6.7% 0.1%
9 6.4% 0.1%
10 5.7% 0.1%
11 5.0% 0.1%
12 4.2% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.