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Make Tournament

99.5%

Automatic Bid

32.6%

At Large Bid

66.9%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (22.6%)

Final Four

11.8%

NCAA Champs

2.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.5%
20 97.8%
19 88.5%
18 61.0%
17 6.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 99.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.7% 5.4%
2 22.6% 3.1%
3 19.4% 1.9%
4 14.2% 1.3%
5 10.0% 0.9%
6 6.9% 0.6%
7 4.8% 0.4%
8 3.3% 0.3%
9 2.2% 0.2%
10 1.4% 0.2%
11 0.8% 0.2%
12 0.3% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.