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Make Tournament

98.8%

Automatic Bid

37.9%

At Large Bid

60.8%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (37.8%)

Final Four

23.5%

NCAA Champs

7.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.5%
20 96.3%
19 85.0%
18 64.5%
17 32.9%
16 2.8%
15 3.4%
OVERALL 98.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 37.8% 12.9%
2 21.9% 5.7%
3 13.1% 3.0%
4 7.8% 1.9%
5 5.3% 1.5%
6 4.5% 1.2%
7 3.3% 0.6%
8 2.2% 0.3%
9 1.5% 0.2%
10 0.8% 0.2%
11 0.4% 0.1%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.