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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

26.0%

At Large Bid

73.9%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (20.6%)

Final Four

20.4%

NCAA Champs

5.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.6%
21 96.4%
20 74.4%
19 26.0%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.1% 9.8%
2 20.6% 7.3%
3 20.1% 5.7%
4 15.7% 4.3%
5 11.2% 3.4%
6 7.5% 2.9%
7 4.8% 2.5%
8 3.1% 1.9%
9 1.9% 1.8%
10 1.1% 1.6%
11 0.6% 1.3%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.