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Make Tournament

60.9%

Automatic Bid

9.4%

At Large Bid

51.5%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (6.2%)

Final Four

3.3%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.3%
21 85.3%
20 52.8%
19 16.2%
18 2.1%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 60.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 3.0%
2 1.9% 1.7%
3 3.1% 1.2%
4 4.5% 0.9%
5 5.8% 0.6%
6 6.2% 0.4%
7 5.6% 0.4%
8 5.6% 0.3%
9 5.9% 0.2%
10 6.0% 0.2%
11 6.1% 0.2%
12 6.2% 0.1%
13 2.6% 0.1%
14 0.6% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.