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Make Tournament

91.8%

Automatic Bid

19.0%

At Large Bid

72.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.0%)

Final Four

13.5%

NCAA Champs

3.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 97.6%
21 89.4%
20 70.5%
19 38.8%
18 15.0%
17 1.9%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 91.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 9.7% 9.4%
2 13.4% 6.0%
3 14.0% 4.0%
4 12.8% 2.8%
5 11.0% 2.0%
6 8.9% 1.6%
7 7.1% 1.2%
8 5.6% 0.9%
9 4.1% 0.7%
10 2.8% 0.6%
11 1.7% 0.5%
12 0.7% 0.4%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.