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Make Tournament

18.7%

Automatic Bid

0.6%

At Large Bid

18.0%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (3.2%)

Final Four

0.4%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.6%
23 97.1%
22 89.8%
21 74.3%
20 49.2%
19 23.8%
18 6.3%
17 0.7%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 18.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.4% 0.5%
4 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 0.1%
6 1.5% 0.1%
7 2.0% 0.0%
8 2.5% 0.0%
9 2.9% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 3.1% 0.0%
12 1.2% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.