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Make Tournament

93.1%

Automatic Bid

3.6%

At Large Bid

89.4%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (14.0%)

Final Four

3.8%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 97.5%
16 68.6%
15 9.8%
OVERALL 93.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 1.6%
2 4.7% 1.3%
3 9.7% 0.9%
4 13.1% 0.6%
5 14.0% 0.4%
6 13.4% 0.3%
7 11.7% 0.2%
8 9.5% 0.2%
9 7.2% 0.1%
10 4.9% 0.2%
11 3.0% 0.1%
12 1.2% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.