View VCU bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

60.3%

Automatic Bid

15.7%

At Large Bid

44.5%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (10.2%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 97.4%
24 84.9%
23 56.1%
22 24.3%
21 5.7%
20 0.9%
19 0.5%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 60.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.2% 0.9%
3 2.8% 0.6%
4 5.0% 0.3%
5 7.7% 0.2%
6 10.2% 0.2%
7 9.0% 0.1%
8 5.8% 0.1%
9 4.5% 0.1%
10 4.2% 0.1%
11 4.2% 0.1%
12 3.8% 0.0%
13 1.4% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.