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Make Tournament

18.4%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

8.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (4.9%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 99.8%
29 98.7%
28 96.4%
27 87.5%
26 75.5%
25 53.9%
24 31.7%
23 13.2%
22 5.5%
21 2.5%
20 1.0%
19 0.4%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 18.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.4% 0.0%
7 0.8% 0.0%
8 1.3% 0.0%
9 2.0% 0.0%
10 2.7% 0.0%
11 3.6% 0.0%
12 4.9% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.