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Make Tournament

28.5%

Automatic Bid

13.4%

At Large Bid

15.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.9%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.5%
27 99.3%
26 94.9%
25 84.3%
24 64.5%
23 40.0%
22 16.0%
21 4.2%
20 1.3%
19 0.3%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 28.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.5% 0.0%
6 0.9% 0.0%
7 1.4% 0.0%
8 2.2% 0.0%
9 3.2% 0.0%
10 4.3% 0.0%
11 5.8% 0.0%
12 7.9% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.