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Make Tournament

96.5%

Automatic Bid

11.9%

At Large Bid

84.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (18.2%)

Final Four

19.0%

NCAA Champs

4.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 96.7%
21 81.8%
20 47.8%
19 10.2%
18 1.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 96.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 14.5% 10.7%
2 18.2% 6.7%
3 16.9% 4.7%
4 14.2% 3.2%
5 11.4% 2.5%
6 7.9% 2.0%
7 4.5% 1.5%
8 3.0% 1.1%
9 2.3% 1.0%
10 1.7% 1.0%
11 1.2% 0.8%
12 0.7% 0.5%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.