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Make Tournament

92.2%

Automatic Bid

5.6%

At Large Bid

86.7%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (17.2%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.3%
22 96.9%
21 86.5%
20 55.2%
OVERALL 92.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.8% 0.3%
4 3.4% 0.3%
5 8.8% 0.3%
6 13.9% 0.2%
7 16.8% 0.2%
8 17.2% 0.1%
9 14.7% 0.1%
10 9.9% 0.1%
11 5.0% 0.1%
12 1.4% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.