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Make Tournament

95.4%

Automatic Bid

30.3%

At Large Bid

65.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (18.2%)

Final Four

12.3%

NCAA Champs

2.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.4%
23 96.9%
22 87.9%
21 64.4%
20 35.6%
19 8.2%
18 0.6%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 95.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 14.2% 7.1%
2 18.2% 4.0%
3 17.4% 2.6%
4 14.2% 1.7%
5 10.6% 1.1%
6 7.7% 0.7%
7 5.4% 0.5%
8 3.6% 0.4%
9 2.2% 0.3%
10 1.2% 0.3%
11 0.6% 0.2%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.