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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

32.6%

At Large Bid

67.0%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (23.6%)

Final Four

14.7%

NCAA Champs

3.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.1%
17 93.5%
16 62.5%
15 18.7%
14 1.9%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.0% 6.9%
2 23.6% 4.8%
3 23.1% 3.4%
4 16.3% 2.5%
5 10.8% 1.7%
6 7.1% 1.5%
7 4.7% 1.2%
8 3.2% 0.8%
9 2.1% 0.7%
10 1.4% 0.7%
11 0.8% 0.5%
12 0.4% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.