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Make Tournament

45.7%

Automatic Bid

4.6%

At Large Bid

41.1%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (7.6%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.0%
22 95.7%
21 85.4%
20 65.0%
19 38.4%
18 15.3%
17 4.3%
16 0.9%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 45.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 0.4%
4 1.3% 0.2%
5 2.3% 0.1%
6 3.3% 0.1%
7 4.5% 0.1%
8 5.8% 0.0%
9 7.0% 0.0%
10 7.6% 0.0%
11 7.3% 0.0%
12 5.0% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.