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Make Tournament

45.4%

Automatic Bid

6.7%

At Large Bid

38.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (5.9%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.1%
25 94.8%
24 81.8%
23 53.3%
22 24.2%
21 6.2%
20 1.2%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 45.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.9% 0.9%
3 2.2% 0.5%
4 3.4% 0.4%
5 4.5% 0.2%
6 5.2% 0.1%
7 5.7% 0.1%
8 5.9% 0.1%
9 5.7% 0.1%
10 5.1% 0.0%
11 4.1% 0.0%
12 2.4% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.