View Virginia bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

94.8%

Automatic Bid

13.1%

At Large Bid

81.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (16.2%)

Final Four

14.2%

NCAA Champs

3.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 100.0%
20 99.2%
19 93.8%
18 78.0%
17 47.1%
16 26.8%
15 5.3%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 94.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.8% 11.1%
2 16.2% 5.4%
3 15.0% 3.2%
4 12.6% 1.8%
5 9.1% 1.1%
6 7.1% 0.9%
7 6.3% 0.5%
8 5.2% 0.3%
9 4.0% 0.2%
10 2.7% 0.1%
11 1.8% 0.1%
12 0.8% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.