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Make Tournament

35.2%

Automatic Bid

7.7%

At Large Bid

27.5%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (4.8%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.0%
25 93.2%
24 75.5%
23 46.5%
22 17.2%
21 4.7%
20 0.7%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 35.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 1.1%
3 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.6% 0.4%
5 3.6% 0.3%
6 4.4% 0.2%
7 4.8% 0.1%
8 4.8% 0.1%
9 4.5% 0.1%
10 3.7% 0.1%
11 2.8% 0.1%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.