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Make Tournament

88.6%

Automatic Bid

11.3%

At Large Bid

77.3%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (14.5%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.7%
22 94.3%
21 79.4%
20 51.0%
19 22.2%
18 3.4%
17 3.5%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 88.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.8% 0.6%
4 2.0% 0.4%
5 3.9% 0.3%
6 6.4% 0.2%
7 9.2% 0.2%
8 11.8% 0.1%
9 13.7% 0.1%
10 14.5% 0.1%
11 14.3% 0.1%
12 10.9% 0.0%
13 1.0% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.