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Make Tournament

90.7%

Automatic Bid

24.7%

At Large Bid

66.0%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (15.2%)

Final Four

4.1%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 97.7%
22 86.3%
21 58.4%
20 21.6%
19 2.9%
18 0.3%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 90.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 2.6%
2 3.4% 1.8%
3 6.9% 1.4%
4 10.3% 0.9%
5 13.7% 0.6%
6 15.2% 0.4%
7 11.0% 0.3%
8 7.1% 0.3%
9 6.2% 0.2%
10 5.9% 0.2%
11 5.4% 0.2%
12 4.0% 0.1%
13 1.0% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.