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Make Tournament

92.7%

Automatic Bid

9.7%

At Large Bid

83.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (11.0%)

Final Four

9.1%

NCAA Champs

2.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 99.2%
19 94.8%
18 79.3%
17 39.7%
16 3.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 92.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.8% 9.3%
2 10.8% 4.4%
3 11.0% 2.4%
4 10.6% 1.4%
5 9.8% 0.8%
6 8.8% 0.5%
7 7.9% 0.2%
8 7.1% 0.1%
9 6.3% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.0%
11 4.5% 0.0%
12 1.5% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.