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Make Tournament

43.0%

Automatic Bid

38.7%

At Large Bid

4.3%

Most Likely Seed

#13 (11.0%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 98.4%
23 90.8%
22 77.9%
21 63.7%
20 56.1%
19 43.4%
18 35.5%
17 20.4%
16 13.9%
15 5.3%
14 3.3%
13 0.3%
12 0.4%
OVERALL 43.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.3% 0.1%
7 0.5% 0.1%
8 0.8% 0.0%
9 1.3% 0.0%
10 2.3% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 8.3% 0.0%
13 11.0% 0.0%
14 9.0% 0.0%
15 4.6% 0.0%
16 0.7% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.