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Make Tournament

41.0%

Automatic Bid

6.2%

At Large Bid

34.8%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (6.0%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.3%
21 95.1%
20 76.7%
19 33.9%
18 6.1%
17 0.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 41.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 0.6%
4 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.8% 0.3%
6 2.8% 0.3%
7 4.4% 0.2%
8 5.6% 0.2%
9 6.0% 0.1%
10 5.9% 0.1%
11 5.5% 0.1%
12 4.9% 0.1%
13 1.8% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.