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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

26.4%

At Large Bid

73.5%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (22.0%)

Final Four

3.5%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 1.0% 0.9%
4 3.5% 0.6%
5 9.2% 0.5%
6 17.2% 0.4%
7 22.0% 0.4%
8 20.9% 0.3%
9 14.8% 0.3%
10 7.3% 0.3%
11 2.8% 0.3%
12 0.7% 0.3%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.