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Make Tournament

59.0%

Automatic Bid

6.9%

At Large Bid

52.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (8.8%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.2%
21 95.4%
20 81.9%
19 52.5%
18 24.5%
17 6.2%
16 0.8%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 59.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.6%
2 1.1% 1.3%
3 2.0% 0.8%
4 3.0% 0.6%
5 3.7% 0.4%
6 4.1% 0.3%
7 4.5% 0.2%
8 5.6% 0.2%
9 6.6% 0.1%
10 7.3% 0.2%
11 8.1% 0.1%
12 8.8% 0.1%
13 3.5% 0.1%
14 0.5% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.