View Oregon bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

96.1%

Automatic Bid

25.5%

At Large Bid

70.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (17.1%)

Final Four

11.0%

NCAA Champs

2.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.5%
20 97.1%
19 87.2%
18 67.1%
17 39.8%
16 13.8%
15 3.8%
14 0.2%
OVERALL 96.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 15.4% 7.6%
2 17.1% 3.1%
3 15.7% 1.7%
4 13.7% 0.9%
5 10.6% 0.5%
6 6.8% 0.3%
7 4.7% 0.2%
8 3.6% 0.1%
9 3.0% 0.1%
10 2.5% 0.1%
11 1.9% 0.0%
12 1.1% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.