View Oregon bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

92.2%

Automatic Bid

21.6%

At Large Bid

70.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (11.6%)

Final Four

5.5%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.6%
19 97.5%
18 85.9%
17 51.1%
16 15.3%
15 0.5%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 92.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 3.9%
2 4.3% 2.6%
3 8.2% 1.9%
4 10.5% 1.3%
5 11.5% 0.9%
6 11.6% 0.8%
7 11.0% 0.5%
8 9.9% 0.4%
9 8.5% 0.4%
10 7.0% 0.3%
11 5.4% 0.2%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 0.3% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.