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Make Tournament

50.8%

Automatic Bid

12.7%

At Large Bid

38.1%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (9.7%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.1%
26 90.8%
25 65.8%
24 32.2%
23 8.6%
22 2.1%
21 0.4%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 50.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 0.7%
3 1.7% 0.3%
4 3.6% 0.2%
5 6.5% 0.1%
6 9.7% 0.1%
7 9.2% 0.1%
8 6.0% 0.1%
9 4.1% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 2.8% 0.0%
12 2.3% 0.0%
13 0.8% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.