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Make Tournament

17.3%

Automatic Bid

12.1%

At Large Bid

5.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.1%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 99.6%
28 99.7%
27 95.0%
26 85.4%
25 71.7%
24 53.0%
23 29.1%
22 14.6%
21 5.4%
20 3.0%
19 1.2%
18 0.2%
17 0.1%
OVERALL 17.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.3% 0.0%
7 0.5% 0.0%
8 0.9% 0.0%
9 1.4% 0.0%
10 2.0% 0.0%
11 3.1% 0.0%
12 6.1% 0.0%
13 2.8% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.