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Make Tournament

26.8%

Automatic Bid

11.3%

At Large Bid

15.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.3%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.7%
26 99.1%
25 96.8%
24 87.1%
23 71.6%
22 42.4%
21 21.2%
20 7.9%
19 2.9%
18 1.1%
17 0.5%
16 0.3%
OVERALL 26.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.5% 0.0%
7 1.0% 0.0%
8 1.8% 0.0%
9 2.9% 0.0%
10 4.4% 0.0%
11 6.2% 0.0%
12 7.3% 0.0%
13 2.1% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.