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Make Tournament

72.2%

Automatic Bid

13.6%

At Large Bid

58.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (7.5%)

Final Four

4.2%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.7%
21 97.3%
20 88.5%
19 69.3%
18 38.9%
17 13.9%
16 3.2%
15 1.0%
14 0.4%
OVERALL 72.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.4% 5.1%
2 4.4% 2.5%
3 6.0% 1.4%
4 7.2% 0.8%
5 7.2% 0.5%
6 6.9% 0.4%
7 7.1% 0.3%
8 7.5% 0.2%
9 7.4% 0.1%
10 6.6% 0.1%
11 5.7% 0.0%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.