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Make Tournament

95.0%

Automatic Bid

19.8%

At Large Bid

75.2%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (13.5%)

Final Four

4.9%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.6%
19 97.4%
18 83.8%
17 50.0%
16 13.9%
15 1.4%
OVERALL 95.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 2.4%
2 4.9% 1.9%
3 10.7% 1.2%
4 13.4% 0.9%
5 13.5% 0.6%
6 12.4% 0.5%
7 10.9% 0.4%
8 9.3% 0.3%
9 7.5% 0.2%
10 5.7% 0.2%
11 4.0% 0.2%
12 2.0% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.