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Make Tournament

98.9%

Automatic Bid

19.2%

At Large Bid

79.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (20.0%)

Final Four

17.4%

NCAA Champs

4.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.8%
15 97.0%
14 60.1%
OVERALL 98.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.2% 8.8%
2 18.3% 6.7%
3 20.0% 5.1%
4 16.7% 3.9%
5 12.5% 2.9%
6 9.0% 2.4%
7 6.3% 2.1%
8 4.3% 1.7%
9 2.7% 1.3%
10 1.6% 1.6%
11 0.9% 1.4%
12 0.3% 0.7%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.