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Make Tournament

51.3%

Automatic Bid

4.2%

At Large Bid

47.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (11.9%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.4%
22 95.3%
21 82.4%
20 49.8%
19 11.4%
18 0.8%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 51.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.5% 0.4%
6 1.5% 0.3%
7 3.2% 0.3%
8 5.6% 0.2%
9 8.3% 0.2%
10 10.8% 0.2%
11 11.9% 0.2%
12 8.2% 0.1%
13 1.2% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.