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Make Tournament

45.7%

Automatic Bid

2.3%

At Large Bid

43.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.7%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.7%
21 90.8%
20 68.7%
19 35.3%
18 9.0%
17 0.9%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 45.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 1.4%
3 0.9% 1.2%
4 1.2% 0.6%
5 1.4% 0.5%
6 2.1% 0.4%
7 3.7% 0.3%
8 5.1% 0.2%
9 6.0% 0.2%
10 6.6% 0.2%
11 7.3% 0.1%
12 7.7% 0.1%
13 2.8% 0.1%
14 0.4% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.