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Make Tournament

78.5%

Automatic Bid

5.1%

At Large Bid

73.4%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (9.9%)

Final Four

2.9%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.7%
19 97.6%
18 87.2%
17 51.8%
16 13.0%
15 1.1%
14 0.2%
OVERALL 78.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 3.2%
2 2.0% 2.0%
3 3.4% 1.4%
4 4.8% 1.0%
5 6.1% 0.6%
6 7.2% 0.4%
7 8.1% 0.3%
8 8.7% 0.2%
9 9.3% 0.1%
10 9.7% 0.1%
11 9.9% 0.1%
12 7.6% 0.0%
13 0.9% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.