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Make Tournament

90.8%

Automatic Bid

12.6%

At Large Bid

78.2%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (10.5%)

Final Four

7.9%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 99.1%
20 95.1%
19 84.2%
18 49.1%
17 4.6%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 90.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.4% 6.2%
2 8.6% 3.7%
3 10.3% 2.4%
4 10.5% 1.8%
5 10.1% 1.2%
6 9.4% 0.9%
7 8.6% 0.6%
8 7.7% 0.5%
9 6.8% 0.4%
10 6.0% 0.3%
11 5.1% 0.2%
12 3.0% 0.2%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.