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Make Tournament

96.0%

Automatic Bid

12.1%

At Large Bid

83.9%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (12.3%)

Final Four

6.3%

NCAA Champs

1.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.1%
19 94.3%
18 70.6%
17 15.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 96.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.5% 4.2%
2 10.1% 2.3%
3 12.2% 1.4%
4 12.3% 1.0%
5 11.3% 0.7%
6 10.0% 0.5%
7 8.7% 0.4%
8 7.5% 0.3%
9 6.4% 0.2%
10 5.4% 0.2%
11 4.5% 0.1%
12 2.8% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.