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Make Tournament

85.7%

Automatic Bid

12.4%

At Large Bid

73.3%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (10.9%)

Final Four

8.8%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.9%
22 91.0%
21 57.7%
20 14.4%
19 1.2%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 85.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.4% 5.2%
2 5.6% 3.3%
3 9.4% 2.4%
4 10.9% 1.9%
5 10.6% 1.5%
6 10.5% 1.2%
7 10.7% 1.0%
8 9.1% 0.8%
9 6.8% 0.6%
10 4.8% 0.7%
11 3.2% 0.7%
12 2.0% 0.5%
13 0.5% 0.4%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.