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Make Tournament

91.8%

Automatic Bid

22.7%

At Large Bid

69.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (16.3%)

Final Four

19.6%

NCAA Champs

5.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.5%
21 90.2%
20 62.8%
19 25.1%
18 4.8%
17 1.2%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 91.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 14.9% 13.6%
2 16.3% 8.0%
3 13.7% 5.5%
4 11.4% 3.8%
5 8.9% 2.8%
6 6.4% 2.3%
7 5.2% 1.8%
8 4.7% 1.5%
9 3.7% 1.3%
10 2.8% 1.1%
11 2.1% 1.1%
12 1.4% 0.6%
13 0.4% 0.5%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.