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Make Tournament

70.4%

Automatic Bid

0.9%

At Large Bid

69.5%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (15.1%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.4%
20 97.4%
19 86.9%
18 51.0%
17 3.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 70.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.4% 0.3%
4 1.0% 0.2%
5 2.0% 0.1%
6 3.5% 0.1%
7 5.5% 0.1%
8 8.1% 0.0%
9 10.8% 0.0%
10 13.4% 0.0%
11 15.1% 0.0%
12 9.9% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.