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Make Tournament

59.0%

Automatic Bid

57.4%

At Large Bid

1.6%

Most Likely Seed

#14 (13.8%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 98.1%
28 94.1%
27 85.9%
26 80.2%
25 73.5%
24 62.1%
23 50.0%
22 41.4%
21 33.5%
20 20.1%
19 14.4%
18 10.8%
17 4.3%
16 0.9%
15 2.6%
OVERALL 59.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.3% 0.0%
7 0.6% 0.0%
8 1.1% 0.0%
9 1.8% 0.0%
10 2.5% 0.0%
11 3.6% 0.0%
12 7.7% 0.0%
13 12.2% 0.0%
14 13.8% 0.0%
15 10.4% 0.0%
16 4.7% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.