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Make Tournament

41.5%

Automatic Bid

28.5%

At Large Bid

13.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (9.5%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.4%
26 98.2%
25 91.2%
24 74.4%
23 46.9%
22 27.5%
21 12.0%
20 7.0%
19 2.5%
18 0.5%
17 0.2%
16 0.4%
OVERALL 41.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.6% 0.2%
6 1.2% 0.1%
7 1.7% 0.0%
8 2.0% 0.0%
9 2.7% 0.0%
10 3.8% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 9.5% 0.0%
13 8.6% 0.0%
14 4.3% 0.0%
15 1.4% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.