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Make Tournament

58.8%

Automatic Bid

41.3%

At Large Bid

17.5%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (10.4%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.6%
25 98.0%
24 92.4%
23 82.1%
22 60.2%
21 44.8%
20 28.4%
19 20.4%
18 15.5%
17 11.4%
16 5.1%
15 3.9%
14 1.1%
OVERALL 58.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.5% 0.9%
4 1.3% 0.5%
5 2.5% 0.2%
6 3.3% 0.1%
7 4.0% 0.1%
8 4.6% 0.0%
9 5.5% 0.0%
10 6.5% 0.0%
11 8.0% 0.0%
12 10.4% 0.0%
13 7.6% 0.0%
14 3.3% 0.0%
15 1.0% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.