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Make Tournament

86.9%

Automatic Bid

7.1%

At Large Bid

79.8%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (17.5%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.4%
16 94.7%
15 73.6%
14 22.5%
13 1.4%
OVERALL 86.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.3% 1.0%
3 1.0% 0.8%
4 2.3% 0.7%
5 3.9% 0.4%
6 5.5% 0.4%
7 7.2% 0.2%
8 8.8% 0.2%
9 10.4% 0.2%
10 12.1% 0.2%
11 14.8% 0.1%
12 17.5% 0.1%
13 2.9% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.