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Make Tournament

98.1%

Automatic Bid

16.4%

At Large Bid

81.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (17.3%)

Final Four

22.8%

NCAA Champs

6.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.3%
20 93.7%
19 71.3%
18 36.7%
17 8.4%
16 0.3%
15 0.1%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 98.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.4% 14.4%
2 17.3% 9.6%
3 16.2% 6.9%
4 14.3% 5.1%
5 12.5% 3.9%
6 10.1% 3.1%
7 5.6% 2.3%
8 2.6% 2.0%
9 1.6% 1.8%
10 1.3% 1.5%
11 1.3% 1.3%
12 1.2% 1.1%
13 0.5% 0.6%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.