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Make Tournament

88.7%

Automatic Bid

5.8%

At Large Bid

82.9%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (12.6%)

Final Four

3.6%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
19 99.1%
18 93.6%
17 74.0%
16 35.9%
15 9.8%
14 0.8%
OVERALL 88.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 3.8%
2 2.4% 2.4%
3 4.4% 1.7%
4 6.2% 1.1%
5 7.5% 0.8%
6 7.3% 0.6%
7 6.3% 0.5%
8 6.9% 0.3%
9 8.0% 0.3%
10 8.9% 0.2%
11 10.2% 0.2%
12 12.6% 0.1%
13 6.0% 0.1%
14 1.1% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.