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Make Tournament

55.5%

Automatic Bid

4.3%

At Large Bid

51.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (10.3%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.6%
21 95.3%
20 84.0%
19 64.8%
18 36.2%
17 11.3%
16 2.1%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 55.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 0.9%
3 0.8% 0.4%
4 1.4% 0.3%
5 2.3% 0.2%
6 3.3% 0.1%
7 4.4% 0.1%
8 5.7% 0.0%
9 7.2% 0.0%
10 8.7% 0.0%
11 10.3% 0.0%
12 9.4% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.