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Make Tournament

47.2%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

39.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (5.7%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.3%
22 89.3%
21 62.2%
20 26.5%
19 5.5%
18 0.8%
17 0.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 47.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 1.7%
2 2.3% 1.0%
3 3.2% 0.6%
4 3.7% 0.4%
5 3.6% 0.3%
6 3.5% 0.3%
7 4.9% 0.2%
8 5.7% 0.1%
9 5.4% 0.1%
10 4.8% 0.1%
11 4.2% 0.1%
12 3.5% 0.0%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.