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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

21.6%

At Large Bid

78.4%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (40.7%)

Final Four

24.6%

NCAA Champs

6.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.2%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 25.8% 8.6%
2 40.7% 6.5%
3 19.4% 5.1%
4 8.3% 3.9%
5 3.6% 3.2%
6 1.5% 2.6%
7 0.5% 2.2%
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.