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Make Tournament

45.2%

Automatic Bid

4.7%

At Large Bid

40.5%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (9.2%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.6%
20 97.3%
19 85.5%
18 55.3%
17 21.0%
16 3.6%
15 0.3%
14 0.2%
OVERALL 45.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 1.2%
3 0.6% 0.7%
4 0.8% 0.5%
5 1.0% 0.4%
6 1.8% 0.3%
7 3.4% 0.2%
8 4.4% 0.2%
9 5.1% 0.1%
10 6.0% 0.1%
11 7.3% 0.1%
12 9.2% 0.1%
13 4.2% 0.1%
14 0.7% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.