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Make Tournament

77.8%

Automatic Bid

5.9%

At Large Bid

71.9%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (9.0%)

Final Four

3.0%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.4%
19 98.3%
18 88.1%
17 58.2%
16 19.4%
15 2.3%
OVERALL 77.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 3.3%
2 3.1% 1.9%
3 4.4% 1.2%
4 5.6% 0.8%
5 6.5% 0.5%
6 7.1% 0.4%
7 7.5% 0.3%
8 7.8% 0.2%
9 8.0% 0.2%
10 8.4% 0.1%
11 9.0% 0.1%
12 7.6% 0.1%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.