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Make Tournament

81.8%

Automatic Bid

8.5%

At Large Bid

73.3%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (9.1%)

Final Four

8.3%

NCAA Champs

1.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.5%
22 98.2%
21 91.0%
20 73.3%
19 39.9%
18 10.2%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 81.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.7% 6.9%
2 6.9% 4.1%
3 8.5% 3.0%
4 9.1% 2.2%
5 9.1% 1.6%
6 8.7% 1.2%
7 8.2% 1.0%
8 7.6% 0.7%
9 6.7% 0.6%
10 5.8% 0.5%
11 4.7% 0.4%
12 2.5% 0.3%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.