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Make Tournament

54.7%

Automatic Bid

7.4%

At Large Bid

47.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.2%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.4%
21 97.0%
20 87.4%
19 67.3%
18 37.0%
17 13.2%
16 3.8%
15 0.4%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 54.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 2.0%
2 1.8% 1.0%
3 2.9% 0.5%
4 4.0% 0.3%
5 5.0% 0.2%
6 5.6% 0.2%
7 4.6% 0.1%
8 4.4% 0.1%
9 5.0% 0.1%
10 5.4% 0.1%
11 5.7% 0.1%
12 6.2% 0.0%
13 2.9% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.