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Make Tournament

90.7%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

80.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (10.6%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.1%
20 97.1%
19 88.4%
18 65.6%
17 31.6%
16 8.3%
15 0.7%
OVERALL 90.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.4% 2.4%
2 5.8% 1.3%
3 7.9% 0.8%
4 9.5% 0.5%
5 10.3% 0.3%
6 10.6% 0.2%
7 10.3% 0.1%
8 9.5% 0.1%
9 8.5% 0.1%
10 7.3% 0.1%
11 5.6% 0.0%
12 2.8% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.