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Make Tournament

18.6%

Automatic Bid

2.8%

At Large Bid

15.8%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (3.8%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.8%
25 99.4%
24 97.5%
23 89.5%
22 68.2%
21 38.4%
20 12.1%
19 2.3%
18 0.2%
17 0.1%
16 0.1%
OVERALL 18.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.0%
6 1.0% 0.0%
7 1.5% 0.0%
8 2.1% 0.0%
9 2.8% 0.0%
10 3.4% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.