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Make Tournament

83.8%

Automatic Bid

12.4%

At Large Bid

71.3%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (9.6%)

Final Four

4.0%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.6%
20 97.9%
19 91.4%
18 70.6%
17 38.3%
16 10.5%
15 1.0%
14 0.7%
OVERALL 83.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 4.6%
2 2.8% 2.9%
3 5.1% 2.1%
4 7.2% 1.2%
5 8.6% 0.8%
6 9.4% 0.5%
7 9.6% 0.4%
8 9.5% 0.3%
9 9.2% 0.2%
10 8.6% 0.2%
11 7.6% 0.1%
12 4.9% 0.1%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.