View Xavier bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

72.6%

Automatic Bid

6.9%

At Large Bid

65.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.5%)

Final Four

1.5%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.4%
20 95.0%
19 77.4%
18 40.6%
17 8.6%
16 0.4%
OVERALL 72.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.0% 0.7%
3 2.8% 0.4%
4 4.8% 0.3%
5 6.6% 0.2%
6 8.0% 0.2%
7 8.9% 0.1%
8 9.5% 0.1%
9 9.5% 0.1%
10 8.9% 0.1%
11 7.6% 0.0%
12 4.6% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.