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Make Tournament

23.8%

Automatic Bid

5.8%

At Large Bid

18.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (5.7%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.5%
27 99.8%
26 98.5%
25 91.9%
24 69.0%
23 39.8%
22 13.8%
21 4.6%
20 1.2%
19 0.7%
18 0.1%
17 0.2%
OVERALL 23.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.5% 0.1%
6 1.0% 0.0%
7 1.3% 0.0%
8 1.6% 0.0%
9 2.2% 0.0%
10 3.4% 0.0%
11 4.6% 0.0%
12 5.7% 0.0%
13 2.6% 0.0%
14 0.7% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.