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Make Tournament

40.6%

Automatic Bid

20.4%

At Large Bid

20.2%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (3.8%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 97.0%
22 90.4%
21 72.2%
20 45.7%
19 24.2%
18 13.8%
17 6.2%
16 4.9%
15 1.1%
14 1.7%
13 0.5%
12 0.4%
11 1.0%
OVERALL 40.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.4% 1.2%
2 3.0% 0.5%
3 3.5% 0.3%
4 3.3% 0.2%
5 2.7% 0.1%
6 2.6% 0.1%
7 3.4% 0.1%
8 3.8% 0.0%
9 3.6% 0.0%
10 3.1% 0.0%
11 2.7% 0.0%
12 2.6% 0.0%
13 1.8% 0.0%
14 1.5% 0.0%
15 1.0% 0.0%
16 0.5% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.