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Make Tournament

99.1%

Automatic Bid

39.2%

At Large Bid

59.9%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (22.5%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.9%
27 99.5%
26 98.2%
25 93.8%
24 83.9%
23 61.5%
22 40.9%
21 0.5%
OVERALL 99.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.6% 0.5%
3 2.9% 0.3%
4 8.1% 0.3%
5 15.6% 0.2%
6 22.5% 0.1%
7 22.5% 0.1%
8 15.1% 0.1%
9 7.5% 0.0%
10 3.1% 0.0%
11 1.1% 0.0%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.