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Make Tournament

70.0%

Automatic Bid

38.9%

At Large Bid

31.0%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (11.9%)

Final Four

3.7%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 99.6%
29 95.9%
28 80.2%
27 53.3%
26 27.6%
25 10.6%
24 5.0%
23 2.9%
22 0.8%
21 2.6%
20 0.0%
OVERALL 70.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 3.1%
2 2.1% 1.8%
3 5.8% 1.3%
4 9.6% 0.8%
5 11.9% 0.6%
6 11.5% 0.4%
7 9.0% 0.4%
8 6.9% 0.3%
9 5.0% 0.2%
10 3.5% 0.2%
11 2.4% 0.1%
12 1.6% 0.1%
13 0.4% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.