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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

61.1%

At Large Bid

38.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (31.4%)

Final Four

11.2%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.9%
28 98.4%
27 89.8%
26 58.4%
25 9.9%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.4% 3.6%
2 18.6% 2.6%
3 31.4% 1.9%
4 24.4% 1.4%
5 13.6% 1.0%
6 6.0% 0.8%
7 2.1% 0.7%
8 0.7% 0.5%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.