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Make Tournament

97.5%

Automatic Bid

59.3%

At Large Bid

38.2%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (21.4%)

Final Four

14.9%

NCAA Champs

3.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.8%
25 98.6%
24 93.1%
23 79.3%
22 50.8%
21 22.5%
20 11.2%
19 4.5%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 97.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.6% 12.8%
2 20.6% 6.7%
3 21.4% 3.4%
4 17.7% 1.6%
5 12.4% 0.8%
6 7.0% 0.5%
7 3.7% 0.3%
8 2.4% 0.2%
9 1.6% 0.1%
10 1.1% 0.1%
11 0.7% 0.0%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.