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Make Tournament

58.9%

Automatic Bid

39.0%

At Large Bid

19.9%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (7.3%)

Final Four

1.3%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.8%
26 97.6%
25 91.2%
24 74.4%
23 52.7%
22 28.5%
21 16.5%
20 10.0%
19 3.5%
18 1.2%
17 0.5%
OVERALL 58.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.7% 1.8%
3 1.9% 1.1%
4 3.8% 0.5%
5 6.1% 0.2%
6 7.3% 0.1%
7 6.7% 0.1%
8 5.8% 0.0%
9 5.3% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 5.0% 0.0%
12 6.9% 0.0%
13 3.8% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.