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Make Tournament

30.4%

Automatic Bid

1.7%

At Large Bid

28.7%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (5.1%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.6%
25 98.0%
24 90.2%
23 73.3%
22 43.1%
21 17.0%
20 4.1%
19 0.5%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 30.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 0.2%
4 3.6% 0.1%
5 4.7% 0.1%
6 5.1% 0.0%
7 4.7% 0.0%
8 3.8% 0.0%
9 2.7% 0.0%
10 1.6% 0.0%
11 0.8% 0.0%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.