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Make Tournament

42.6%

Automatic Bid

4.2%

At Large Bid

38.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (5.9%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.4%
24 97.4%
23 89.1%
22 72.2%
21 43.5%
20 17.5%
19 4.3%
18 0.7%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 42.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.4% 2.4%
2 3.5% 1.5%
3 4.9% 0.9%
4 5.6% 0.6%
5 5.9% 0.4%
6 5.6% 0.3%
7 4.9% 0.2%
8 4.0% 0.2%
9 3.0% 0.1%
10 2.0% 0.1%
11 1.2% 0.1%
12 0.6% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.