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Make Tournament

40.2%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

36.3%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (5.2%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 97.5%
20 88.6%
19 63.4%
18 32.3%
17 10.6%
16 2.5%
15 0.2%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 40.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.7% 2.0%
2 1.4% 1.2%
3 2.2% 0.6%
4 2.9% 0.3%
5 3.2% 0.2%
6 3.2% 0.2%
7 3.4% 0.1%
8 4.0% 0.1%
9 4.4% 0.0%
10 4.8% 0.0%
11 5.2% 0.0%
12 4.2% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.