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Make Tournament

34.5%

Automatic Bid

9.2%

At Large Bid

25.4%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (5.9%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.4%
24 94.5%
23 75.3%
22 37.8%
21 12.0%
20 2.4%
19 1.1%
18 0.3%
17 0.2%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 34.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 0.4%
2 1.4% 0.3%
3 1.9% 0.2%
4 2.0% 0.1%
5 2.2% 0.1%
6 3.7% 0.1%
7 5.9% 0.1%
8 5.8% 0.0%
9 4.4% 0.0%
10 3.0% 0.0%
11 2.0% 0.0%
12 1.3% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.