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Make Tournament

95.4%

Automatic Bid

31.7%

At Large Bid

63.7%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (16.6%)

Final Four

13.9%

NCAA Champs

3.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 98.2%
23 90.6%
22 77.5%
21 49.6%
20 27.1%
19 3.1%
18 1.3%
OVERALL 95.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 10.3% 8.3%
2 16.6% 5.3%
3 16.6% 3.2%
4 14.5% 2.3%
5 11.7% 1.6%
6 9.0% 1.1%
7 6.5% 0.9%
8 4.5% 0.6%
9 2.9% 0.4%
10 1.7% 0.4%
11 0.8% 0.3%
12 0.3% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.