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Make Tournament

99.3%

Automatic Bid

43.0%

At Large Bid

56.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (30.1%)

Final Four

23.9%

NCAA Champs

7.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 98.8%
23 94.2%
22 82.1%
21 45.5%
20 22.2%
19 3.5%
OVERALL 99.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 30.1% 12.4%
2 27.1% 7.6%
3 17.6% 5.1%
4 10.6% 3.6%
5 6.1% 2.5%
6 3.5% 1.9%
7 2.0% 1.5%
8 1.2% 1.0%
9 0.6% 0.7%
10 0.3% 1.0%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.