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Make Tournament

80.4%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

70.3%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (10.1%)

Final Four

2.5%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.1%
15 92.5%
14 62.2%
13 8.7%
OVERALL 80.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.9% 1.0%
3 4.7% 0.7%
4 7.1% 0.5%
5 8.9% 0.3%
6 9.8% 0.3%
7 10.1% 0.2%
8 9.9% 0.1%
9 9.3% 0.1%
10 8.1% 0.1%
11 6.5% 0.1%
12 3.7% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.