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Make Tournament

95.3%

Automatic Bid

27.2%

At Large Bid

68.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (23.6%)

Final Four

18.6%

NCAA Champs

4.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 97.8%
23 93.9%
22 77.3%
21 49.3%
20 21.6%
19 7.4%
18 0.2%
OVERALL 95.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 19.8% 9.5%
2 23.6% 5.7%
3 17.4% 3.9%
4 12.3% 2.7%
5 8.5% 2.0%
6 5.7% 1.5%
7 3.6% 1.1%
8 2.2% 0.7%
9 1.2% 0.7%
10 0.6% 0.6%
11 0.3% 0.4%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.